The Official Ephemerisle Blog


Update And Thoughts On The Future Of (Un)Ephemerisle

With the experience of this year’s community UnEphemerisle , more meetings w/ our insurers, and discussion w/ our new Director of Engineering , we’re continuing to revise our Ephemerisle strategy.  Patri will be posting a much longer and more detailed paper about the history, strategy, and future of the event in a couple weeks, but in the meantime, we wanted to share the latest highlights.

  • Our insurers tell us that the Jones Act essentially prevents us from having a participatory floating festival at a reasonable cost.  It gives unlimited liability to marine operators for accidents on their vessels by anyone participating in any way, and so insurance costs $2k-$3k per person!  So at best we could do a “museum of seasteading”, with a small number of insured staff, and everyone else as attendees/visitors with no active participation.  That doesn’t sound very interesting to us.  Additionally, there are serious insurance issues related to swimming and tying up any craft to an insured structure.  We are still investigating alternatives, but it doesn’t currently look promising.
  • Part of the goal of Ephemerisle was for TSI to test and develop our engineering designs for floating platforms.  Our new DirEng says that calm water testing would not help him, and that ocean engineers now strictly use computer models to simulate ocean conditions.
  • In the meantime, those who have come the last two years have done a great job at building community, self-organizing camps and activities, making a fun event, and generally making large parts of the vision happen independently, and obviously at vastly cheaper cost for TSI.  As far as those aspects go, we’re happy to get out of the way, save a ton of resources, and let the community event flourish.
  • However, Patri’s original vision for Ephemerisle, and the way it fit into TSI’s mission and strategy, was more than a fun community event on the water (as he’ll explain in much greater detail in a future post).  That original vision included a theme of political self-experimentation, as well as relentless progression in seaworthiness & autonomy towards the eventual goal of being an independent city in international waters.  Neither the political theme nor the progression were apparent at the Floating Festival, or in post-event discussions.
  • So, as several suggested on the floating-festival list, it seems that TSI should focus on these areas, while letting the community do what it’s awesome at – self-organizing a fun festival and exploring DIY technologies.  Meanwhile, TSI, with the benefit of full-time staff, growing expertise, and some financial resources, can contribute “seasteading-ness” to floating festivals through grants, information-sharing, and research related to our mission: to enable the creation of autonomous startup countries in the ocean.  Likely areas for UnEphemerisle collaboration include political experimentation and marine technology, to help the community grapple with the issues of eventually moving to the Bay, and someday meeting the immense challenges of the ocean.
  • We see this as an awesome win-win – the community clearly wants to develop the event, and  TSI is happy to focus our resources toward research programs on the core problems of seasteading, in the context of Ephemerisle and our Poseidon Project, such as ocean engineering, maritime law, and business opportunities.  For example, some of the money we saved this year will jumpstart our legal research program, a crucial and very complex area where we need far more understanding of the implications of being in international waters for Americans, whether at Ephemerisle or on seasteads.

We think this division of responsibilities will be much more efficient – we feel leaner and more streamlined already!  We’re still exploring the implications and details, and as always, your comments are welcome and appreciated.


UnEphemerisle 2010: Thoughts & Future Plans

(Patri’s thoughts, still somewhat unpolished, still mulling this over / researching next steps, but wanted to get something out to be part of the discussion.)

Relentless in the face of obstacles such as TSI’s inability to insure Ephemerisle at a reasonable price, the seasteading community came together last weekend for a fabulous floating festival that many have been calling “UnEphemerisle” (like an unconference). The event drew 116 people on 9 houseboats, one platform (part of Apocaisle’s foundation), and San Francisco artist Chicken’s John’s artstead. Saturday’s activities included wakeboarding, tubing, water zorbing, and a series of talks at Memocracy.

Here are some thoughts comparing UnEphemerisle 2010 and Ephemerisle 2009, and about how the crowdsourcing affected the event:

  • EI09 had slightly more attendees (despite EI09’s $50 tickets vs. UE10 being free), and many of those signed up for EI10 canceled and didn’t come to UE10. Canceling definitely hurt attendance (we’re guessing by 50%). That said, plenty of people still came!
  • As a community-building event where people interested in seasteading gather for fun, connection, and inspiration, the event worked great. Post-event, there was a resounding amount of positive feedback on the event mailing list, and a group formed to work on a marina hackerspace.
  • The event was a bit cramped with only houseboats and no large open platforms, although the houseboat roofs helped a lot as open space.
  • Anchoring away from shore, while somewhat scary as the flotilla moved with the tides, was successful, although somewhat marginal – the group couldn’t do it Thu night, had to try again Fri morning, and 2 of the main lines got twisted and the large houseboats were unable to retrieve them after several hours of effort on Sun, and had to cut the lines. I don’t think anyone has any idea how solid or risky the anchoring setup was, and what the chances were that we could have woken in the middle of the night to the flotilla being swept against the rocks. It was again clear that this is a difficult challenge, one with scaling issues, and a key piece of group infrastructure.
  • There was much less art, likely due to the cancellation of art grants and weaker integration of Chicken & his team (who arrived on the Relentless at midnight on Saturday after an epic voyage). EI09 had a wide range of art, while UE10 had Matt Bell’s giant koosh, a half-day of the half-finished art boat, and not much else. For example, documentarian Jason Sussberg said that he found UE10 far less visually appealing than EI09.
  • Despite there being no official medical services, Patri reports that he was quite happy with the care he received for his dislocated shoulder.
  • There were no interactions with authorities that would have required permits, relationships, etc. (although there were last year, and the lack this year might have been due to the prep work TSI did pre-cancellation).
  • Almost everyone slept on rented houseboats, the only exceptions being a piece of Apocaisle (built last year w/ a TSI grant), the Relentless (partly funded this year by a TSI grant before the event was canceled). So there was no progress in structure/platform innovation (regression, if anything), and on the last day a couple sailboats. On the one hand we can look at this as settling on a standard structure, one which effectively provides space and infrastructure at a reasonable price. On the other hand, houseboats are not ocean-worthy, so while convenient they are a dead-end as far as getting to international waters.

Now that we have these two events as examples, we can evaluate these different approaches in the context of TSI’s goals for ephemerisles (floating festivals) and how they contribute to our mission of building startup countries on the ocean. TSI has two goals for Ephemerisle:

  1. To be an embryonic seasteading city which incrementally grows towards true seasteading (full-time autonomous ocean life).
  2. To bring together our community to bond, learn, play, and deepen their commitment to our shared mission, which we think is most powerfully and elegantly accomplished in the setting of a shared journey from a few boats on a river towards a temporary city in international waters (1).

We’ll start with (2) – Community. UE10 mostly accomplished this at far less cost than a TSI-organized, safe, insured event would have. While it was smaller, and seemed to appeal less to the high resource individuals we’d like to engage (for example, 4/5 TSI’s board planned to attend EI10, and only 1/5 came to UE10), it had much of the value at little to no cost to TSI. Which is great!

The picture is rather bleaker for (1), however, as there was basically zero incremental progress. The anchoring was a little better, but the difference was mainly the group’s willingness to trust a potentially unreliable anchoring system (which Chicken had available but was not willing to depend on at EI09), as opposed to any improved technology or knowledge. And anchoring houseboats in the Delta is standard enough that Paradise Point rents out houseboats with anchors that they train non-boaters to use in a few minutes, so it doesn’t represent a big achievement. The experienced mariners we have talked to have uniformly said that a raft-up in international waters is a very difficult and currently unsolved challenge, and we saw zero community push this year towards engineering better solutions to make incremental progress to meet this challenge. There was also no progress in location, wave size, # of attendees, structure type or variety, or variety of legal/cultural environments (ie multiple competing platforms).

Even more disappointing from my & TSI’s perspective, is that some people seem to be taking these two points and drawing a line – expecting next year to be another raft-up of houseboats on the Delta. Which sounds like a great weekend to me – but not an Ephemerisle. I’m very worried that without funding, research, and direction from TSI, the community would happily gather in the Delta each year for a fun raft-up party with little relation to seasteading, rather than my original vision of building towards the seasteading world.

So here are my thoughts for what’s best for Ephemerisle 2011 and beyond. It’s clear that an UnEphemerisle style event can achieve a significant amount of value at a small fraction of the cost – only a few, well-defined areas are lacking. However, those areas are crucially important to the long-term strategic implications. So it seems likely that the event’s value would be significantly increased by an organization such as TSI providing more of what I think of as “Seasteading-ness”: central anchor points, a large marine barge, funding for art / engineering work / sociopolitical experiments, research to allow future ocean events, and in general consciously pushing the event towards it’s long-term goal. But it also seems likely that TSI can focus only on this limited set of things. Perhaps TSI could participate in or supplement a community-organized UnEphemerisle, rather than trying to organize the event ourselves. This could be far cheaper as our liability and thus our insurance could be much less, if we are only contributing some grants or research.

Many open questions remain, such as the feasibility (cost/complexity/rental vessel availability) of moving to the Bay in 2011, insurance costs and requirements for various forms of TSI participation, when to hold the event, and how best to realize the seasteading vision within the Ephemerisle context. We’ll be investigating these over the coming months and pondering how best to combine the lower cost participatory model we saw this year with the safe, strategic, beautiful step towards seasteading that we have been envisioning.

As I said at the beginning, these thoughts are far from full-formed, just wanted to get them out for feedback and discussion.  Welcome your input!


Pics from Floating Festival 2010

Here’s a slideshow of the pics tagged on Flickr:

And many more photosets can be found on the unephemerisle 2010 wiki page.

Those of us from TSI who attended are still processing our thoughts about this event, how it differed from EI2009 and our plans for EI2010, and how to combine the best aspects of a TSI-run event and this community-run event for 2011. Look for an extensive post in the next week or two.


Ephemerisle 2011: On the Horizon

While we are sad to have to cancel Ephemerisle 2010, we’ll be able to turn lemons into lemonade by immediately shifting our focus to planning Ephemerisle 2011. The resources we aren’t putting into this year’s festival on the Delta will nourish next year’s much more ambitious iteration: Ephemerisle on the San Francisco Bay.

SF Bay Fireworks

The projected range of dates for this gathering is based around July 4th, Independence Day in the United States (or Secession Day, as Patri prefers to call it). We would greatly appreciate all feedback as to the appropriateness and convenience of this time of year, and invite all seasteaders and Ephemerislers to either comment here on the blog, or email us directly.

The overall feasibility of holding this event still needs to be investigated, but we thought we’d share our thinking on what Ephemerisle 2011 could be.

Expanding Our Reach

Ideas are already forming for how to make next year’s event a total success. For The Seasteading Institute as a non-profit research-based organization, the biggest qualifier for success has to do with the return-on-investment for outreach. In other words, we want to be sure that, given the huge costs associated with putting on Ephemerisle in the Bay next year, we maximize our target impact: increasing global interest in seasteading.

It may seem foolhardy to skip a year in a calmer destination like the Delta and immediately head for the sea. But the hard work we put into setting up in the San Francisco Bay will pay off not just in the greater engineering gains made from the experience, but also from the greater visibility from the mainstream media and greater attractiveness of our event to potential sponsors.

Proximity to a populous area full of boating enthusiasts will also allow us to invite day-trippers from around the Bay to stop by, rather than committing to staying throughout the duration event, which can be a difficult arrangement for many. For this purpose we may introduce a cheaper one-day pass (or similar).

Staying Grounded at the Same Time

Also in the conceptual pipeline for Ephemerisle 2011: a general seasteading and ocean exposition, land-based, to take place simultaneously with the main event out on the water. We envision a one day or multiple day expo consisting of booths, demonstrations, workshops, lectures, and discussions — something like the Seasteading Conference meets Maker Faire.
Sunset over the SF Bay
To that end, we’ll be seeking partnerships with like-minded groups and companies both local and international — organizations with an affinity for the ocean, for ecological conservation, for pioneering entrepreneurialism, for innovative marine engineering, and for liberty. The hope is to provide people with a new and more enlightened perspective on that part of the Earth humanity has thus far treated simultaneously as forbidding wasteland and unlimited exploitable resource.

And with ferries between the expo and the floating city, even those without access to a boat or interest in staying overnight on the water can participate in the growing, iterative movement of seasteading through Ephemerisle.

The Insurance Issue

We do suspect that Ephemerisle 2011 will be every bit as expensive as the estimates we were provided for Ephemerisle 2010. However, with such close proximity to San Francisco, we can expect to be able to offset these costs both in greater participation — we can encourage day-trippers, local sponsors, and possibly even some vendors — and in the much grander media exposure that will provide a greater return on the investment we put into the event.

It’s worth noting, too, that with greater attendance comes lesser per-person insurance costs. Part of what caused the Ephemerisle 2010 cancellation was the fact that we had originally capped ticket purchases at 300, thinking that a smaller event would be easier and cheaper to insure, not to mention easier to organize and manage. Unfortunately, the insurance industry put a high premium on the novelty of our event and seemed to pay little attention to attendance as a variable.

Regardless, we’ll be using the hard-won lessons of this year to fuel our success with the insurance industry in 2011, and we’re starting NOW on sorting those details out.

Community Advisory Board: Reloaded

We know we can’t hold a truly great event without you, so we’ll be looking for your ideas and guidance about what Ephemerisle 2011 should be, what’s important to get right, and how best to direct our resources. This year, we put together a community advisory board composed of enthusiastic individuals who came to Ephemerisle 2009. This turned out to be an invaluable source of guidance for the Ephemerisle Team. (A big thank you to all who participated!)

For 2011, we’d like to get a more diverse group of community advisors together — including individuals who did NOT attend Ephemerisle — to advise us in our preparations. If you’re interested in having a say in how The Seasteading Institute prepares for this next, even more ground-breaking Ephemerisle event — whether your interest is in politics, engineering, economics, art, construction, or (most importantly) having a great time — then we’re interested in hearing from you! Do drop us a line letting us know your interest in getting involved, and mention “community group” in the Subject line.


Ephemerisle 2010 Cancellation

UPDATE: If you are interested in discussing community-run events, Matt Bell posts in the comments that he has created a community events discussion group. This group is unaffiliated with TSI and Ephemerisle.

 

We regret to tell our community that after much discussion this week, we are canceling Ephemerisle 2010 due to insurance costs. The estimate for insurance-related expenses has risen from an early estimate of $55,000 to a total of $135,000, with much of the jump happening a week ago. This caused us to take a long, hard look at Ephemerisle’s budget and the ROI of the event as a whole.

While we think that Ephemerisle is an extremely valuable part of the long-term strategy of seasteading, with input from our board, staff, and community, we have decided that the price tag for Ephemerisle 2010 is too high to be a responsible use of funds. Instead, we will be directing the funds into other projects to advance seasteading – including trying to lower insurance costs so that we can hold Ephemerisle 2011.

It’s sad to be canceling such an exciting event, but as an organization with such an audacious mission, it’s inevitable that we will undertake high-risk projects, some of which will go poorly. When that happens, it’s critical that we be able to admit it and course correct. Our sadness is also tempered by the knowledge that our work at The Seasteading Institute is directed at addressing exactly the issue that stopped us this time – the high barriers to experimentation caused by current systems, like current liability law.

Logistics

All ticket fees will be reimbursed. Donations made between Tuesday’s appeal and the time of this announcement will be refunded. Reimbursements and refunds will happen within one week [Update: Two weeks, based on our ticket provider's standard process]. Art grantees and volunteers will be reimbursed for funds already spent. If attendees are concerned about non-refundable travel expenses, please contact us on an individual basis. Those who have reserved houseboats may still wish to enjoy the Delta. If you decide to cancel a houseboat reservation, please contact us first to discuss reimbursement of fees. You may reach us at ephemerisle@seasteading.org.

Insurance Costs and Comparison

We began working on insurance from the beginning of event planning in January. Our initial estimates from our insurance brokers in February were high but manageable. Unfortunately, as our planning progressed and the insurers researched our event more, the costs increased. Most recently, we had to add additional coverage requested by the owner of our central barge, a key piece of event infrastructure. The latest quote for this, received last week, added another 30% to the already high costs, resulting in a cost of $500/person for insurance alone!

As a non-profit, we and our donors are willing to take a loss on Ephemerisle, especially in these early years, as it advances the long-term mission of seasteading. And in an absolute sense, taking a loss of, say, $200 per attendee seems reasonable – it’s like paying someone’s conference registration fee. But this price did not seem reasonable.

Another way to look at the costs is to compare them to other TSI projects which are unfunded. By canceling the event, we can fund engineering research, maritime law research, Constitution and Architectural design contests, and complete a book on seasteading.

Community Feedback

The community seems to agree. After talking to ~20 Ephemerisle ticketholders, the general consensus is that while they’d be sad to see the event cancelled, most would be even sadder to see that much spent on insurance — they’d rather see the money used more effectively.

Additionally, if this year’s event is cancelled, community members have suggested that they may organize grassroots events on their own, with no TSI association or involvement. For seasteading to succeed in the long-run, it needs bottom-up community efforts, and we look forward to seeing what these private individuals are able to create, and how their results compare with TSI-organized events.

Ephemerisle 2011 and Beyond

Most of the value of Ephemerisle is in its growth towards being an independent community in international waters, and we believe that we can continue that growth without Ephemerisle 2010. While the most recent insurance estimates do give us concern for whether future TSI-organized Ephemerisles can be held at a reasonable cost, canceling this year’s event gives us more time and money to begin research on Ephemerisle 2011 in the San Francisco Bay.

And the ROI for Ephemerisle in the Bay may be very different. On the cost side, it should be much easier to attract attendees to the Bay (for example, they can come for a day or evening), and more attendees means lower per-person insurance costs due to economies of scale. Our barge costs will also be lower in the Bay, due to lower towing expense. And a larger and more visible event will make it easier to get sponsors and partners, as well as increasing the benefits, like the enormous exposure we’ll generate by creating a floating city in a major metropolitan area. Finally, the long lead time and experience from planning this year’s event will both contribute to a smoother Ephemerisle 2011.

Your Feedback Welcome

Thanks so much for your support, and we apologize for any disruption this decision may have caused. We look forward to seeing you at future Seasteading Institute events. We welcome your feedback via comments or email to ephemerisle@seasteading.org.

Patri Friedman, Founder & Executive Director
The Seasteading Institute